Friday, October 28, 2011
Jose Reyes to Detroit? Get Real.
I hate to break it to you, but this is ridiculous and would cripple the Tigers ballclub in upcoming seasons, in my opinion.
“But Magglio and Carlos are coming off payroll”, they say. Sure, the Venezuelan ER unit will be gone, but people are forgetting that a sizable portion of the team is due raises this year and in upcoming seasons. And with Justin Verlander and Miguel Cabrera already in the $20 million range, there is NO WAY a team in a market like Detroit’s can afford another guy with that price tag.
Keep in mind, I’m no financial expert when it comes to running a baseball team, by any means. But I think I’m pretty close to being on the mark with the following.
Take a look.
Miguel Cabrera: $21 million
Justin Verlander: $20 million
Victor Martinez: $13 million
Jose Valverde: $9 million
Joaquin Benoit: $5.5 million
Brandon Inge: $5.5 million
Jhonny Peralta: $5.5 million
Ryan Raburn: $2.1 million
Jacob Turner: Around $1 million
Okay. We’re already at $82.6 million and we’ve only covered 9 players. And one of them (Turner), may not even make the Opening Day roster. The 2011 team payroll was around $107 million. Sure, Mr. Ilitch will probably increase that number, but he’s a businessman first. He can’t allow his team to operate in the red like the Dodgers did this year. The man wants to win, but I can’t see the Tigers increasing that number to something silly like $140 million. I think $125 million has to be the cap. We aren't the Yanks or Sawx.
Now we enter the group of guys that are due raises. The following are estimates on what they’ll receive via MLB Trade Rumors.
Delmon Young: $6.3 million (yes, they’ll likely re-sign him)
Rick Porcello: $4.2 million
Max Scherzer: $3.9 million
Phil Coke: $1.3 million
Don Kelly: $800K
Brad Thomas is also eligible, but I’m fairly confident that they’ll tell him to go fuck a diseased koala and be done with him. So, that’s another $16.5 million on the books. Our total has now hit $99.1 million. Now we add in the following cost-controlled young guys at somewhere around $500K each.
That’s another $5 million, pushing us to $104.1 million, approximately. And SHIT! I forgot Dombrowski’s yearly donation of $1 million to his favorite charity: Joel Zumaya. If you add Reyes, who is going to be aggressively seeking somewhere around 5 years/$100 million, we’re up to $125 million(ish) and we still haven’t addressed adding another starter, catching depth, bullpen help, and maybe a third baseman.
Also, if you add Reyes, what happens to Peralta? Does he go to third where he pouted and got fat in Cleveland? Move him to second where he’s never played?
Another thing to consider, if the team goes nuts and signs Reyes: In the next few years, Jackson, Fister, Avila, and Boesch will all be due HEFTY raises. With three $20 million players already on the roster, where will that money come from? We’ll have a handful of good players and a bunch of minimum wage Don Kellys around them. Our farm system isn’t exactly packed with impact rookies looking to make debuts in the coming years, outside of Nick Castellanos in 2014 or so.
Also, keep in mind, Jim Leyland, Dave Dombrowski, the coaches and medical staff, and that opera singing jackoff hot dog vendor and his co-workers all need to get paid, too. We’re also paying Gary Sheffield deferred payments of $1-$2 million per season for another couple years.
There simply isn’t money there for Jose Reyes, kids. I’m sorry.
Plus the bastard will probably get hurt, if you follow his history. Who plays then since we can’t afford bench help? Cale Iorg? Good gawd, no. Add in the risk of the NL-to-AL hitting adjustment and I’m not a big fan of the idea, overall.
Reyes is not an option. If the Tigers go after a free agent middle infielder, expect it to be someone like Aaron Hill, Kelly Johnson, Jamey Carroll, or re-signing Ramon Santiago. Maybe see if you can get one of them, a better-than-Penny fifth starter, a veteran backup catcher, and 2 years of Aramis Ramirez for the amount of money you’d give to a Jose Reyes. Then, go find a seventh inning guy.
Is that a sexy idea? No. But it’s much more realistic, a word that many Tiger fans just don’t seem to understand.